A Deterministic Mathematical Model of Mycobacterium avium subsp paratuberculosis (MAP) Transmission on Commercial US Dairy Farms
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21423/aabppro20054832Keywords:
Johne's disease, MAP, Mathematical modeling, eradicationAbstract
Prevalence of Johne's on US dairy farms is estimated at one-fifth of all herds, and is higher for the population of large herds. Of the animals which test positive for MAP, high levels of bacterial shedding are noted in only a small proportion. Despite this low prevalence of high-shedding animals, elimination of MAP from herds has proven exceptionally challenging, with few published reports of successful eradication of MAP from infected farms. Mathematical modeling may aid us in the understanding of this apparent contradiction.